Annual maritime incident figures 2025
Get access to our in-depth analysis of maritime incidents from 2025. Learn about the most current and emerging threats shaping the maritime security environment.
Annual land-based incident figures 2025
Get access to our in-depth analysis of European land-based incidents from 2025. Learn about the most current and emerging threats shaping the land-based security environment.
Iran is seeking to impose a transit fee in the Strait of Hormuz, thereby challenging the principle of freedom of navigation, against the backdrop of a war launched on 28 February 2026 by the US and Israel.
Taking advantage of deadlocks in negotiations, Tehran is adopting a delaying tactic based on maximalist demands to consolidate de facto control of the strait and legitimize a toll system.
The Baltic Sea has undergone a marked transformation during 2025 and into 2026, shifting from a relatively low-tension maritime environment to one increasingly shaped by the direct spillover of the Russia–Ukraine war.
What initially appeared as a mix of hybrid activity, sanctions enforcement, and electronic interference has developed into a sustained and multidimensional risk environment.
This brief assesses the emergence and evolution of GNSS interference activity in the vicinity of Port Sudan amid Sudan’s ongoing civil war.
Analysis of interference events between April 2023 and April 2026 shows a clear temporal and spatial correlation with key phases of the conflict, particularly RSF aerial and drone strikes, suggesting reactive use of electronic warfare as a countermeasure rather than persistent area denial.
Central Asia’s Middle Corridor has emerged as a strategic alternative linking China and Europe, strengthening supply chain resilience in the face of heightened geopolitical risk.
Sustained political engagement between European and Central Asian governments, alongside targeted investments along the corridor, demonstrates a clear systemic intent to position the route as a shock absorber for China–Europe trade.
The Strait of Hormuz remains a choke point in the global energy supply chain. Heightened threats have pushed exporters to rely increasingly on alternative routes and ports, including southern Gulf terminals, pipeline-linked outlets, and longer maritime detours.
These new routes face elevated security, operational and cost risks, disproportionately affecting countries most dependent on rerouted energy exports.
While sea patrols on the Singapore Strait have contributed towards a reduction in vessel boardings, armed perpetrators continue to pose a physical threat to the safety and welfare of seafarers.
The first quarter of 2026 saw a continuation of the benefits realised with the introduction of patrols by the Indonesian Marine Police (IMP) on the waters of the Singapore Strait in July 2025. Compared with the 37 vessel boardings reported during the first quarter of 2025, the 10 incidents reported in 2026 represent a 73% decrease.
Syria’s oil and gas sector is emerging as a central lever in the country’s fragile post‑war transition, but structural damage, fragmented territorial control and unresolved political contests mean that a sustained revival will be slow and prone to disruption.
The sector’s trajectory will hinge on the settlement between authorities in Damascus and the Kurdish-led administration in the northeast, as well as on how external patrons and commercial partners position themselves amid uncertain contracts and severe governance deficits.
Tensions in the Taiwan Strait remain elevated as China continues to apply sustained “grey zone” pressure against Taiwan. These operations, which include large-scale military drills, air and naval incursions, missile exercises and coast guard patrols, are designed to signal resolve without triggering open conflict. While commercial shipping has not been directly targeted, the operational environment is becoming increasingly complex.
Since 2022, China has normalised frequent People’s Liberation Army (PLA) activity around Taiwan. Joint air-sea exercises often simulate blockades or encirclement manoeuvres.
Hybrid threats are redefining the vulnerability of European land-based logistics by exploiting their interconnected, dual-use nature below the threshold of open conflict, as even small-scale, ambiguous acts of disruption can produce disproportionate operational and psychological effects.
This piece aims to shed light on how and why this evolution materialises, and to highlight that resilience, rapid recovery, and integrated coordination are vital for continuity in today’s landscape.
Recent high-impact incidents in Germany, France and Italy underscore the severe risks posed by organised criminals to supply chain and commercial facilities. Utilising intelligence from LandRisk Logistics and adhering to TAPA standards can fortify your organisation's security and resilience against criminal activities.
We recorded three very different, high impact incidents on LandRisk Logistics that took place between the 14-17 June 2024 which highlight the dangers that capable, motivated and well resourced criminals pose to the supply chain and commercial facilities.
Last week, the spotlight was on Northern Europe's cross-border infrastructure in a shifting geopolitical landscape during the STRING and Region Skåne event at Connecting Europe Days in Brussels. With a focus on the Helsingør-Helsingborg fixed link and the Oslo-Göteborg railway stretch, the importance of these connections was underscored.
Hans Tino Hansen, CEO of Risk Intelligence, along with other specialists, added invaluable insights during the panel discussion, emphasising the intersection of civilian and military infrastructure needs.
Whilst the question of irregular migration, which continues to lie at the heart of European politics, overwhelmingly concentrates on maritime crossings of the Mediterranean Sea and the English Channel, recent data highlights a slow yet significant resurgence of enterprises placing road freight transport at the centre of their strategies.
This article delves into recent numbers, trends, and incidents to explain why irregular migration and smuggling remain a security threat to logistics operations.
Cargo theft criminals have been keeping the LandRisk Team busy during Q4 this year. Of particular interest is the presence of organised criminal groups (OCGs) carrying out cargo thefts on main logistics routes in Germany. OCGs present a significant threat to logistics operators as when they do strike the impact is often much higher due to the increased level of confidence, capability and resources these groups typically employ.
The A-1 motorway between Bremen and Hamburg has been hit particularly hard. On the evening of the 5th November 67 trucks had their trailers slashed in incidents at the Otsetal South, Grundbergsee South and Hatzte service/rest areas.
As naval drones and drone swarms redefine maritime strategies, a deeper analysis reveals how they challenge traditional naval operations and pave the way for innovative tactics in an increasingly complex and contested seascape.
In the ever-evolving arena of naval warfare, a transformation of profound significance is underway. This is evident in the use of smaller unmanned surface vessels (USVs), which has risen from smaller scale use in Yemen in the mid-2010s, to a veritable Ukrainian USV naval programme operating at full scale in 2023.
As Russia attempts to find ways to alleviate the impact of Western sanctions, and finding alternative trading partners and trade routes, China has seized the opportunity and is increasingly asserting itself on the Northern Sea Route. While highlighting the inequalities of the Russian-Chinese relationship, this will also have an impact on the wider geopolitical balance of power.
As global warming makes the Arctic's Northern Sea Route (NSR) more accessible, a complex geopolitical scenario is unfolding, with China taking the lead. Despite Russia's historical dominance over the NSR, it is now being challenged by China's robust shipbuilding industry and its aggressive Arctic strategies.
As technology advances, so does the potential for its misuse. Large language machines (LLMs) and image generators have become extremely popular, seemingly overnight, with the launch of ChatGPT 3 in November 2022. Since then, companies and individuals have scrambled to figure out uses for them for a variety of purposes or sectors.
LLMs continue to be upgraded and refined by their creators, and Adobe recently released their “Generative Fill”- AL tool for Photoshop, highlighting how the tech companies are competing fiercely to have the best possible software. However, these tools also have the potential to be used for malicious purposes, particularly in relation to hybrid threats.
The recent Saudi-Iranian agreement to mend diplomatic relations will likely improve maritime security at a high level by reducing a source of regional tension. However, the transactional nature of the agreement – where everything in the future is negotiable – leaves much room for regional proxy forces to continue to act. As well, the other potential flashpoint, between Iran and Israel, remains unresolved.
The Saudi-Iranian deal announced by China carries significant implications, although at this stage these remain mostly symbolic, and might mean more for Chinese-US relations than for the two middle-eastern rivals.
While hybrid threats are as old as war itself, the emerging threat from Russian aggression and rise of China has once again made hybrid threats relevant to consider even for private companies.
Hybrid threats refer to a combination of conventional and non-conventional tactics that adversaries use to achieve their objectives. These threats can originate from a wide range of actors, including state-sponsored groups, criminal organizations, or even lone individuals.
Louis Borer, Senior Analyst at Risk Intelligence, recently shared insights with La Croix on the resurgence of Somali piracy.
The original article was published on 06 June 2026 on La Croix’s website.
Risk Intelligence A/S is conducting a FLINC study examining how transport infrastructure across the Norway–Sweden–Finland east–west corridor performs under disruption and crisis scenarios.
The original article was published by Kvarken Council on 02 June 2026.
Louis Borer, Senior Analyst at Risk Intelligence, shared his insights in an interview with Le Monde on the increasing use of signal jamming in the maritime domain amid the ongoing Middle East crisis.
The original article was published on 25 May 2026 on Le Monde’s website.
Louis Borer, Senior Analyst at Risk Intelligence, was recently interviewed by Le Monde on the resurgence of piracy off the Somali coast amid shifting maritime routes and regional instability.
The original article was published on 19 May 2026 on Le Monde’s website.
Hans Tino Hansen, CEO of Risk Intelligence, recently shared insights with The New York Times on how vessels linked to Iranian oil exports are being monitored amid the increased U.S. naval blockade in the Gulf of Oman.
The original article was published on 15 May 2026 on The New York Times’s website.
Risk Intelligence contributed to an article published by Safety4Sea examining how the Russia–Ukraine war is reshaping the Baltic Sea risk environment for commercial shipping.
The original article was published on 05 May 2026 on Safety4Sea’s website.
Louis Borer, Senior Analyst at Risk Intelligence, shared his perspective in a recent Le Monde article on the escalating situation in the Strait of Hormuz.
The original article was published on 05 May 2026 on Le Monde’s website.
Risk Intelligence Senior Analyst, Louis Borer shared insights with France Info on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and the role of the U.S. Navy in a potential mine-related scenario.
The original article was published on 18 April 2026 on the France Info website.
Hans Tino Hansen, CEO of Risk Intelligence, was recently interviewed by Berlingske for a round-up on NATO’s deterrence capacity and the implications of a possible U.S. withdrawal from the alliance.
The original article was published on 14 April 2026 on Berlingske’s website.
Risk Intelligence insights
Risk Intelligence’s highly experienced security risk analysts are frequently featured in the media as journalists report on the maritime and land-based security threats to supply chain and logistics operations across the world. Here, we feature the articles published in news and industry media world wide, and add shorter analyst briefings on global hotspots for piracy attacks, crime and theft, insurgency, war risk and other security risks on land, at sea and in ports.