The Eastern Mediterranean since 7 October

Since 7 October 2023, much of the focus on Middle Eastern tensions has been directed toward the Red Sea and the Houthi campaign to target merchant shipping in solidarity with Palestinians. Despite expectations of disruption, this region has avoided significant direct impacts.

The relative stability of the Eastern Mediterranean hides a complex and evolving security landscape. Regional politics and relations with the rest of the world are embedded in energy geopolitics and ‘gas diplomacy,’ which continue to shape the region’s strategic outlook, presenting a mix of opportunities and risks for its long-term stability.